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Nordic Hardtech Weekly #33: The Unscalable Edge – why hardtech wins by starting slow

Nordic hardtech founders are turning early pilots, crude prototypes and real-world friction into long-term defensibility as capital shifts back toward physical tech.

Nordic Hardtech Weekly #33: The Unscalable Edge – why hardtech wins by starting slow
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Early friction.

Lasting advantage.

Something is shifting in the funding landscape. Software is still dominant, but its share of startup capital has been sliding for years, while hardware is slowly gaining ground. It is not a dramatic turn, but it is enough to remind us that progress still depends on the physical world and on the teams willing to do the slow, unscalable work that real technology requires.

This week, we look at why that early, unscalable phase is not a setback but a useful part of building hardware, and how early friction often becomes the knowledge that later makes scale possible.


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Nordic Hardtech Radar

This Week: Why scale is a reward, not a strategy.

The First Mile: Where Hardware Companies Are Actually Made

Hardware does not scale at first. Its not meant to. Real progress begins when technology meets the physical world, and the early, unscalable work becomes a source of understanding rather than a delay. For many Nordic teams, this is where the moat forms.

Capital is slowly shifting in the same direction. Software still dominates, but its share of startup funding has fallen from 83 percent in 2016 to 64 percent in 2025, while hardware and deep tech are gaining ground. The shift does not make hardware easier, but it reinforces a basic truth: scale only works when the early groundwork is solid.

Chart: Carta.com

Early pilots, calibration work and low-fidelity prototypes are still unavoidable, and they remain the stage where teams learn the constraints they later build on. Several Nordic companies show how this unscalable first mile plays out in practice.

FleetMQ: learning the system before it automates

FleetMQ builds low-latency data streaming software for autonomous and remote-operated machines, where timing and precision are critical. Making the technology reliable has required direct validation in the field, through early pilots in road vehicles, boats and space robotics projects. Each environment forces the team to understand real-world communication before any scalable automation is possible. The company’s early prototypes were refined in WASP test arenas, giving the team a structured way to validate the system in real conditions.

Heimdall Power: installing on the real grid

Heimdall Power works in a domain where failure is not an option. Its sensors are installed on live power lines across Europe, in conditions no test lab can fully reproduce. Each installation adds to the team’s understanding of how grids behave in practice and strengthens the technology over time. In 2025, TIME named the company’s Neuron device one of the year’s best inventions, after early deployments in the United States increased transmission capacity by 63 percent at peak demand and delivered projected savings of around three million dollars.

Single Technologies: precision built in small steps

Single Technologies advances single-molecule imaging through slow, deliberate iteration. Calibration, repeatability and industrialization steps cannot be rushed, and precision builds over time. The company secured SEK 140 million in EU funding earlier this year, and an additional SEK 30 million from existing owners to move from research toward commercialization, a vote of confidence in the value of that long groundwork.

Skyfri: solar assets that behave differently everywhere

Skyfri operates in a part of the energy system where physical variation is constant. Each solar site behaves differently depending on weather, installation history and equipment quality, so early deployments require hands-on calibration and long observation periods. In 2025 the company reported that its technology revenues were on track to triple year over year, driven by growth across more than 150 solar sites in Europe and the United States, showing how software-heavy energy technology still depends on slow, real-world learning before scale can take hold.

And a 300-kilo reminder ...

Flatfrog offers a clear illustration of how early, unscalable work shapes long-term success. When Ola Wassvik co-founded the company in 2007, the first multitouch prototype was neither refined nor lightweight. As he told Nordic Hardtech earlier this year, “The first prototype weighed 300 kilos. It was built with consultants, duct tape, and a lot of optimism.” Its purpose was to expose real-world constraints before any refinement. As the company grew, engineering progress was paired with an aggressive IP strategy. According to Ola, “One cannot out-price China, our only shot was to out-innovate, and protect every move.”

Listen to our pod session with Flatfrog's Ola Wasswik.

Scale as a reward, not a strategy

The broader lesson is clear: real scale follows understanding, not the other way around. Hardware companies win by learning the physical reality of what they are building long before growth is possible. That knowledge comes from slow pilots, site visits, crude prototypes and early friction that others never encounter. It’s not fast or glamorous, but it anchors everything that comes later.


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